Sunday, October 2, 2011

Seedborn Musings - At “Random”

From The Muse Vessel.

25% of all cards that do something “at random” have been printed in the last 2.5 years (i.e. from Alara Reborn forward).  Whether in cascade, Commander, or (c)Innistrad, many powerful effects have been randomized to be less grievous/broken.
I want to break randomness.

Many people shy away from random effects, but they can be quite good if you design with the effect in mind.  With Innistrad giving us a bunch of cards with random effects, here’s a punctual primer on parlaying the (p)random.

The Random Has Two Colors

White: There is only one monowhite card that does anything at random: Planeswalker’s Mirth.  It’s part of a Planeshift cycle that made an opponent reveal a random card from their hand so you could get an effect; here, it’s gaining life.  Others could pump or depump a creature, deal damage to the targeted opponent, or let you cast the card if it was an instant or sorcery.  The Planeswalker’s cycle was odd all the way around and generally out of character for each color’s abilities.

Blue: 4 cards, 3 of them from the black-bordered world.  One of them is a Planeswalker’s enchantment, another is in black’s flavor, and the third is Merfolk Spy.  Not much to comment on here.

Black: The second-most abundant color for randomness, black is all about making someone(s) discard at random.  The two exceptions are its Planeswalker’s enchantment and Innistrad’s Ghoulraiser, which gravedigs random Zombies.  Random discard’s always been highly effective and annoying, so much so that only 4 of the 17 monoblack cards that do so are in Modern (and two were reprints).

Red: 49 cards here!  Betcha didn’t know that.  You didn’t know that in part because 15 of them were from Odyssey block as ways of giving red some green-sized creatures or more powerful removal; the drawback for such power was for you to discard a card at random.  That’s far from the only use, as many red uses of randomness are to bleed the color pie into red, such as permanent destruction (Capricious Efreet), looting (Desperate Ravings), tutoring (Gamble and Wild Research), reanimation (Search for Survivors), and recursion (Charmbreaker Devils).  Ignite Memories was good enough to see tournament play, but the rest have mixed reviews as a batch.  Unlike black’s slice, red randomness has been on the rise as a design tool (7 monored random cards are in Extended), and nobody disputes that it fits there anyway.

Green: This is the new one; 3 of the 6 monogreen cards are from Innistrad.  The new designs (Make a Wish, Moldgraf Monstrosity, and Woodland Sleuth) differ from red in that it doesn’t give green new abilities, instead raising the theoretical power level of existing green.  This is an intriguing design direction, and whether it’s pursued after Innistrad (say, in M13) should give us a good picture of R&D’s take on randomness as a whole.

Gold: 24 cards, 12 of which involve the random shuffling of cascade.  The rest involve random discard and/or are red.  Two are Commander B-sides: Ruhan and Tariel.

Artifacts: Mostly before Ice Age and ending with Planeshift, artifacts tend to have some random-discard-for-bonus effects or random psuedo-card draw, such as Skyship Weatherlight.

There are some semi-random effects that don’t use the word; most of them involve the top card of your library or something similar.  How to use them isn’t very different v. cards that say “random” on them.

Plan-dom

So what do we do with these cards?  Making opponents discard at random is usually fantastic; nobody’s had to do more than stick it in a deck and profit, though even random opponent discard can be manipulated to your benefit.  Some of them should be answered individually, but here are the basic things you can do to control what you’re doing with them:

Don’t worry about it.  This one’s overlooked but fine depending on the card.  Maybe you just like the variety/thrill of doing something random.  Maybe the effect’s value is high enough that it’s worth anything; Gamble, Devastating Dreams, and to a lesser extent Kindle the Carnage can be fine.  Although cascade’s use of true randomness is shuffling rather than a reference to the spell you get, it’s still basically random in theory, and getting extra value out of the spell is fine enough in many decks.  Make a Wish’s base power level probably is sufficient to slot into decks that aren’t built around; Moldgraf Monstrosity definitely is that way.

Make it so everything that happens randomly is good for your deck.  I’ve used Drastic Revelation to be good with both halves of my deck, suddenly dumping nasty abilities to Necrotic Ooze or dumping spells so that Dralnu can flash them back (or Ooze pretending to be Dralnu).  I’ll sculpt my hand a little bit for maximum value, but the card’s doing enough in the deck to where losing a good spell or two is fine; I’ll just get them back later.

You could make a deck where you discard randomly but have tons of madness spells, or use other random effects to get guaranteed value.  I’m completely pumped to include Charmbreaker Devils in my Tariel Commander deck.  Sure, it returns instants or sorceries randomly, and I have 26 possible targets, but 21 of them get rid of permanents or life totals.  Oh no!  Instead of Into the Core, I got Hero’s Demise!  Stinks to be me…

Minimize the randomness to maximize the benefit.  This probably is the most popular method, particularly since it works with a lot of players’ desire to reduce randomness in other aspects (and the lessons from other areas are more transferable to here).  Want to reduce the random aspect of drawing cards?  Scry.  You can augment random discard of opponents with…more discard.  (Okay, that one wasn’t hard.)  What about discarding random things from your hand?  You could get all the good stuff out of it first (and by that I mean use all the things that matter to the current board state).  If recursion is your thing, then selective graveyard exile for a benefit could help you out.  My Tariel deck runs Suffer the Past for that reason, but there are plenty of other ways to do the same thing.  Necromancer’s Covenant already was solid in Commander, but making sure the next creature entering that graveyard will fight for you next is a synergistic way of reducing randomness.

Wrapping Up

Innistrad randomness cares primarily about the graveyard, but it does it in a way that isn’t demanding you build around it.  That said, if your deck can take advantage of minimizing that randomness, so much the better for you.  Regardless, don’t be afraid of the word random on a card.  That might weaken it on the initial reading, but there are plenty of support cards in every format to work with it, and the rewards can be powerful.

A few new Magic sites...

In wandering the internet these last few days and weeks, I've stumbled across a number of new Magic sites I'd like to bring into the fold. I've also noticed that Commander is incredably popular, and has a number of sites dedicated solely to Commander play and strategy.

Commander Themed Sites:
The Command Zone: http://thecommandzone.blogspot.com/
The Crazy 99: http://togedher.blogspot.com/
Three to the Face: http://threetotheface.blogspot.com/
Commandercast: http://www.commandercast.com/

Casual Magic:
Casual MTG Creations: http://rlackmtg.blogspot.com/
The Cardboard Witch: http://thecardboardwitch.blogspot.com/
Completely Casual: http://www.cafeschoenleben.de/wordpress/
I Remember Banding: http://irememberbanding.tumblr.com/
Wooberg: http://wooberg.weebly.com/index.html

Competative Magic:
The Starkington Post: http://www.thestarkingtonpost.com/
Channel Fireball: http://www.channelfireball.com/
Gathering Magic: http://www.gatheringmagic.com/
Quiet Speculation: http://www.quietspeculation.com/
The Mana Pool: http://themanapool.com/

Multiplayer Magic:
The Muse Vessel: http://musevessel.wordpress.com/

Just for Fun Magic Site:
MTG Color Pie: http://mtgcolorpie.com/

Expect to see alot more from these sites in the coming months.

Ban Sol Rin in Commander?

From MTGSalvation.

The Math of Banning Sol Ring in Commander

The Math of Banning Sol Ring in Commander

Planeswalker Report

Hayden here, and I'm starting a new segment, which I've tentatively titled the "Planeswalker Report," in which I'll examine the current cost of Magic the Gathering Planeswalker cards (generally from sites around the internet). Ultimately, I'd like to be able to establish trends for the savvy collector, so here goes nothing:

#1: Jace, the Mind Sculptor
No surprise here, JtMS remains the top Planeswalker in terms of average cost.


Current Value: $65.27 Trending Down with a low end cost of around $41 (EBay)



#2: Liliana of the Veil
While I'm not surprised that LotV is high now, I don't expect this price to last long (despite a current upward trend). What's surprising about Liliana at the moment is the wild diversity in price. Some sites had her listed at almost $60, while others as low as $40. How high will she go before she peaks?


Current Value: $48.31 Trending Up with a low cost of $35 (EBay) and a high of $59 (MTGFanatic)



#3: Jace, Memory Adept
JMA continues to hold its value (surprisingly) considering (in my opinion) its rather limited scope of use.


Current Value: $31.73 Trending Steady with a low cost of $20 (EBay).


#4: Garruk, Primal Hunter
The primal hunter continues to trend downward, though not as quickly as the falls of Gideon Jura and Chandra, the Firebrand.


Current Value: $25.97 Trending Down with a low cost of $20 (Troll and Toad)



#5: Garruk Relentless///Garruk, the Veil-Cursed
The new double sided version of Garruk has already enjoyed several jumps and dips, and that was all prior to the Innistrad release.


Current Value: $25.31 Trending Down with a low cost of less then $20 (EBay)



#6: Tezzeret, Agent of Bolas $24.98 Trending Down with a lost cost of $18.99 (EBay)
#7: Koth of the Hammer $24.88 Trending Steady with a low cost of $14.99 (EBay)
#8: Chandra, the Firebrand $21.64 Trending Down with a low cost of $11.68 (EBay)
#9: Nicol Bolas, Planeswalker $20.81/(Duel Deck Version) $15.31 Trending Down with a low cost of $12.99 (Troll and Toad)/(Duel Deck Version) $9.35 (EBay)
#10: Venser the Sojourner $17.72 Trending Down with a low cost of $12 (EBay)

Perhaps you've noticed what I did about the Planeswalker market as a whole, its dropping steadily. With the exception of the of the two new Planeswalkers from Innistrad, which are enjoying the usual new release boom, all of the Planeswalkers are dropping, even the budget options. Jace Berelen is about the only Planeswalker enjoying anysort of a real upward trend, and is getting close to cracking the top 10. As an avid collector of Planeswalkers, I am very disappointed with this overall downward trend, especially when just a couple months ago Planeswalkers were booming.

A return to Ravnica?

Here is some interesting speculation concerning the upcoming "Hook, Line and Sinker" block, which will follow Innistrad.

I don't like to put too much stock in discussion board rumblings, but I will say this: MTGSalvation has a pretty solid track record when it comes to speculation, and this post is from one of their moderators, not just some random poster.

Jace Berelen is from the plane of Ravnica, and in terms of storylines, Jace's is far from finished. Plus, Wizards has got to be encouraged by the success of the return to Mirrodin in Scars, so why not? I for one loved Ravnica, its the set that brought me back into Magic after what I considered to be several disappointing releases. I'll be keeping a close eye on this situation, so expect more on this soon. Cheers.

Premium Deck Series: Graveborn



Well this looks exciting. I actually did buy one of the Premium Deck Series: Slivers, and it was alright, but the Premium Deck Series lost me with Fire and Lightning. This deck however looks very interesting. The expansion symbol will be:



And here's a little sneak peak at some of the cards that will be included:

"Legions of corpses await your sinister commands. This 60-card, all-foil deck entombs, exhumes, and reanimates some of the most powerful Magic creatures from all five colors of mana. Harvest your graveyard for an assortment of these face-beaters as you walk over a field of bones to claim your victory."

I think its safe to say we'll see a new printing of Entomb in this deck. This is the kind of thing we need more of from Wizards of the Coast. Cheers.

Planeswalker Points System

Announced here.

Finally, a system from Wizards of the Coast I can get on board with. Hayden here, and I have to say, that I'm impressed that Wizards is at least making an effort to include casual players in their ranking system. I'm sure most of us who play more casual then competative Magic have a DCI-friendly shop where we hang out, and now, under the new Planeswalker Points system, we can recieve ranking points for all that casual play. Cool right?